If you are thinking about buying a particular make of new car, you suddenly see people driving that car all over the roads. If you just ended a longtime relationship, every song you hear seems to be written about love. If you are having a baby, you start to see babies everywhere. Confirmation bias is seeing the world through a filter.

David McRaney


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If someone you know gets sick from taking a flu shot, you will be less likely to get one even if it is statistically safe. In fact, if you see a story on the news about someone dying from the flu shot, that one isolated case could me enough to keep you away from the vaccine forever. On the other hand, if you hear a news story about how eating sausage leads to anal cancer, you will be skeptical, because it has never happened to anyone you know, and sausage, after all, is delicious. The tendency to react more rapidly and to a greater degree when considering information you are familiar with is called the availability heuristic.

David McRaney


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Power breeds certainty, and certainty has no clout against the unpredictable, whether you are playing poker or running a country.

David McRaney


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You want to believe that those who work hard and sacrifice get ahead and those who are lazy and cheat do not. This, of course, is not always true. Success is often greatly influenced by when you were born, where you grew up, the socioeconomic status of your family, and random chance

David McRaney


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To escape consumerism and conformity, you must turn your back and ignore the mainstream culture. The shackles when then fall away, the machines will grind to a halt, the filters will dissolve, and you will see the world for what it really is. The illusory nature of existence will end and we will all, finally, be real.

David McRaney


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Having a dissenting opinion on movies, music, or clothes, or owning clever or obscure possessions, is the way middle-class people fight one another for status...Hipsters, then, are the direct result of this cycle of indie, authentic, obscure, ironic, clever consummerism...It is ironic in the sense the very act of trying to run counter to the culture is what creates the next wave of culture people will in turn attempt to counter.

David McRaney

Tags: hipsters counter-culture



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You can't rage against the machine through rebellious consumption.

David McRaney

Tags: rebels consumerism



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The more pessimistic your explanatory style, the easier it is to slip into learned helplessness.

David McRaney


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The future is the result of actions, and actions are the result of behavior, and behavior is the result of prediction.

David McRaney

Tags: thomas-theorem



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It is the result of thinking, not the process if thinking, that occurs spontaneously in consciousness.

David McRaney


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