As democracy is perfected, the office of president represents, more and more closely, the inner soul of the people. On some great and glorious day the plain folks of the land will reach their heart's desire at last and the White House will be adorned by a downright moron.

H.L. Mencken

Stichwörter: politics democracy elite elitism elitist meritocracy voter voting predictions



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We tend to overestimate the effect of a technology in the short run and underestimate the effect in the long run.

Roy Amara

Stichwörter: future technology predictions estimations



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I consider that the chief dangers which confront the coming century will be religion without the Holy Ghost, Christianity without Christ, forgiveness without repentance, salvation without regeneration, politics without God, and heaven without hell.

William Booth

Stichwörter: politics religion predictions



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The most essential prediction of Darwinism is that, given an astronomical number of chances, unintelligent processes can make seemingly-designed systems, ones of the complexity of those found in the cell. ID specifically denies this, predicting that in the absence of intelligent input no such systems would develop. So Darwinism and ID make clear, opposite predictions of what we should find when we examine genetic results from a stupendous number of organisms that are under relentless pressure from natural selection. The recent genetic results are a stringent test. The results: 1) Darwinism’s prediction is falsified; 2) Design’s prediction is confirmed.

Michael J. Behe

Stichwörter: science biology chance evolution naturalism darwinism natural-selection intelligent-design predictions macro-evolution macroevolution id



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It is a consolation or a misfortune that the wrong kind of people are too often correct in their prognostications of the future; the far-seeing are also the foolish.

Robbie Ross

Stichwörter: foresight oscar-wilde predictions prescience



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Now when a man is as right as that in his forecasts, there is some reason to think he may be right in his premises.

Frank Sheed

Stichwörter: predictions g-k-chesterton



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I have a foreboding of an America in my children's or grandchildren's time -- when the United States is a service and information economy; when nearly all the manufacturing industries have slipped away to other countries; when awesome technological powers are in the hands of a very few, and no one representing the public interest can even grasp the issues; when the people have lost the ability to set their own agendas or knowledgeably question those in authority; when, clutching our crystals and nervously consulting our horoscopes, our critical faculties in decline, unable to distinguish between what feels good and what's true, we slide, almost without noticing, back into superstition and darkness...

The dumbing down of American is most evident in the slow decay of substantive content in the enormously influential media, the 30 second sound bites (now down to 10 seconds or less), lowest common denominator programming, credulous presentations on pseudoscience and superstition, but especially a kind of celebration of ignorance

Carl Sagan

Stichwörter: prediction reason atheism media 9-11 mysticism predictions reality-tv occupy-wall-street fox-news 99-percent evangelicalism rupert-murdoch media-of-the-united-states future-prediction 9-11-01 globalism proud-ignorance media-barons nostradamus outsourcing



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I knew by the signs it would be a hard winter. The hollies bore a heavy crop of berries and birds stripped them bare. Crows quarreled in reaped fields and owls cried in the mountains, mournful as widows. Fur and moss grew thicker than usual. Cold rains came, driven sideways through the trees by north winds, and snows followed.

Sarah Micklem

Stichwörter: nature winter autumn weather predictions folklore



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The more interviews that an expert had done with the press, Tetlock found, the worse his predictions tended to be.

Nate Silver

Stichwörter: predictions experts



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When you have two competing theories that make exactly the same predictions, the simpler one is the better.

William of Ockham

Stichwörter: theories simple predictions



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