I couldn't claim that I was smarter than sixty-five other guys--but the average of sixty-five other guys, certainly!
Richard P. FeynmanStichwörter: humor intelligence education statistics mathematics
Of course, if 40% of women need oxytocin to progress normally, then something is wrong with the definition of normal.
Henci GoerStichwörter: humor statistics birth doctor
Another mistaken notion connected with the law of large numbers is the idea that an event is more or less likely to occur because it has or has not happened recently. The idea that the odds of an event with a fixed probability increase or decrease depending on recent occurrences of the event is called the gambler's fallacy. For example, if Kerrich landed, say, 44 heads in the first 100 tosses, the coin would not develop a bias towards the tails in order to catch up! That's what is at the root of such ideas as "her luck has run out" and "He is due." That does not happen. For what it's worth, a good streak doesn't jinx you, and a bad one, unfortunately , does not mean better luck is in store.
Leonard MlodinowStichwörter: statistics math luck probability gambling
He could not believe that any of them might actually hit somebody. If one did, what a nowhere way to go: killed by accident; slain not as an individual but by sheer statistical probability, by the calculated chance of searching fire, even as he himself might be at any moment. Mathematics! Mathematics! Algebra! Geometry! When 1st and 3d Squads came diving and tumbling back over the tiny crest, Bell was content to throw himself prone, press his cheek to the earth, shut his eyes, and lie there. God, oh, God! Why am I here? Why am I here? After a moment's thought, he decided he better change it to: why are we here. That way, no agency of retribution could exact payment from him for being selfish.
James JonesStichwörter: fear death warfare selfishness statistics probability retribution mathematics geometry algebra payment bell machine-guns
I guess I think of lotteries as a tax on the mathematically challenged.
Roger JonesStichwörter: statistics mathematics lottery
This book is an essay in what is derogatorily called "literary economics," as opposed to mathematical economics, econometrics, or (embracing them both) the "new economic history." A man does what he can, and in the more elegant - one is tempted to say "fancier" - techniques I am, as one who received his formation in the 1930s, untutored. A colleague has offered to provide a mathematical model to decorate the work. It might be useful to some readers, but not to me. Catastrophe mathematics, dealing with such events as falling off a height, is a new branch of the discipline, I am told, which has yet to demonstrate its rigor or usefulness. I had better wait. Econometricians among my friends tell me that rare events such as panics cannot be dealt with by the normal techniques of regression, but have to be introduced exogenously as "dummy variables." The real choice open to me was whether to follow relatively simple statistical procedures, with an abundance of charts and tables, or not. In the event, I decided against it. For those who yearn for numbers, standard series on bank reserves, foreign trade, commodity prices, money supply, security prices, rate of interest, and the like are fairly readily available in the historical statistics.
Charles P. KindlebergerStichwörter: economics statistics finance econometrics
Statistics show that the nature of English crime is reverting to its oldest habits. In a country where so many desire status and wealth, petty annoyances can spark disproportionately violent behaviour. We become frustrated because we feel powerless, invisible, unheard. We crave celebrity, but that’s not easy to come by, so we settle for notoriety. Envy and bitterness drive a new breed of lawbreakers, replacing the old motives of poverty and the need for escape. But how do you solve crimes which no longer have traditional motives?
Christopher FowlerStichwörter: wealth violence statistics poverty crime status british habits motives crime-solving powerless
The logic behind patriotism is a mystery. At least a man who believes that his own family or clan is superior to all others is familiar with more than 0.000003% of the people involved.
Criss JamiStichwörter: humor family people belief nationalism patriotism patriotic funny arrogance logic sarcasm statistics mystery illogical pride true country superiority superior inferiority nation bias funny-but-true patriot clan irrational sarcastic percent arrogant inferior estimate estimated estimation percentage prideful stat statistic stats
99 percent of all statistics only tell 49 percent of the story.
Ron DeLegge IIStichwörter: economics statistics mathematics numbers
Nature has established patterns originating in the return of events, but only for the most part. New illnesses flood the human race, so that no matter how many experiments you have done on corpses, you have not thereby immposd a limit on the nature of events so that in the future they could not vary.
Gottfried Wilhelm von LeibnizStichwörter: statistics leibniz regression induction
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