If we can find short-term incentives that are consistent with our long-term objectives, it is much easier to make the right decisions in the moment.
Tom RathTag: business decision-making
I am convinced that every effort must be made in childhood to teach the young to use their own minds. For one thing is sure: If they don't make up their minds, someone will do it for them.
Eleanor RooseveltTag: childhood decision-making
A good decision cannot guarantee a good outcome. All real decisions are made under uncertainty. A decision is therefore a bet, and evaluating it as good or not must depend on the stakes and the odds, not on the outcome.
Ward EdwardsTag: probability decision-making stakes
A mistake is not something to be determined after the fact, but in the light of the information until that point
Nassim Nicholas TalebTag: mistakes decision-making process outcomes
I had discovered long ago the first lesson of political courage: to think anew. I had then learned the second: to be prepared to lead and to decide. I was now studying the third: how to take the calculated risk. I was going to alienate some people, like it or not. The moment you decide, you divide.
Tony BlairTag: politics leadership decision-making
The widest cause of secularization may be the steady change of thinking so that there is the expectation that reason and a consideration of cause and effect will help with explanations. Supernatural power began to be removed from explanations of the process of life or society in the seventeenth century, and although there may be a nod towards astrology or the crossed finger today, superstition is not seriously used in decision making. ...
Scientific thinking, which similarly developed in the seventeenth century, has been influential in bringing this change. We now see that tornadoes and earthquakes have rational explanations in terms of climatology and seismology rather than as divine punishments. Most people when deciding whether to take a new job, embark on a divorce, or simply plan a holiday will not seek divine guidance, but rather discuss with themselves or others the issues of cause and effect.
Tag: reason humanism logic superstition evidence rational-thought decision-making secularization
We should not expect individuals to produce good, open-minded, truth-seeking reasoning, particularly when self-interest or reputational concerns are in play. But if you put individuals together in the right way, such that some individuals can use their reasoning powers to disconfirm the claims of others, and all individuals feel some common bond or shared fate that allows them to interact civilly, you can create a group that ends up producing good reasoning as an emergent property of the social system. This is why it's so important to have intellectual and ideological diversity within any group or institution whose goal is to find truth (such as an intelligence agency or a community of scientists) or to produce good public policy (such as a legislature or advisory board).
Jonathan HaidtTag: reasoning decision-making
The sign of a good decision is the multiplicity of reasons for it.
Mary Doria RussellTag: decision-making
When there aren’t any smart decisions, I suppose you just have to pick the stupid decision you like best.
Orson Scott CardTag: decision-making
It's up to you, not fate.
David LevithanTag: fate decision-making
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