The government are very keen on amassing statistics. They collect them, add them, raise them to the nth power, take the cube root and prepare wonderful diagrams. But you must never forget that every one of these figures comes in the first instance from the village watchman, who just puts down what he damn pleases.
Josiah StampTag: science statistics data
The value for which P=0.05, or 1 in 20, is 1.96 or nearly 2; it is convenient to take this point as a limit in judging whether a deviation ought to be considered significant or not. Deviations exceeding twice the standard deviation are thus formally regarded as significant. Using this criterion we should be led to follow up a false indication only once in 22 trials, even if the statistics were the only guide available. Small effects will still escape notice if the data are insufficiently numerous to bring them out, but no lowering of the standard of significance would meet this difficulty.
Ronald A. FisherTag: science statistics
If the statistics are boring, then you've got the wrong numbers.
Edward R. TufteTag: statistics design data visualization
Above all else show the data.
Edward R. TufteTag: statistics data graphics
Baseball is a soap opera that lends itself to probabilistic thinking. [Dick Cramer]
Michael LewisTag: statistics baseball sports
All the statistics in the world can't measure the warmth of a smile.
Chris HartTag: world smile statistics measure warmth
Statistics, likelihoods, and probabilities mean everything to men, nothing to God.
Richelle E. GoodrichTag: power god statistics probability omnipotence ability richelle might richelle-goodrich almighty likelihood
J. E. Littlewood, a mathematician at Cambridge University, wrote about the law of truly large numbers in his 1986 book, "Littlewood's Miscellany." He said the average person is alert for about eight hours every day, and something happens to the average person about once a second. At this rate, you will experience 1 million events every thirty-five days. This means when you say the chances of something happening are one in a million, it also means about once a month. The monthly miracle is called Littlewood's Law.
David McRaneyTag: psychology statistics delusion coincidence
If your experiment needs a statistician, you need a better experiment.
Ernest RutherfordTag: science statistics experiments
Voting, we might even say, is the next to last refuge of the politically impotent. The last refuge is, of course, giving your opinion to a pollster, who will get a version of it through a desiccated question, and then will submerge it in a Niagara of similar opinions, and convert them into--what else?--another piece of news. Thus we have here a great loop of impotence: The news elicits from you a variety of opinions about which you can do nothing except to offer them as more news, about which you can do nothing.
Neil PostmanTag: politics opinions media news elections television statistics discourse irrelevance nate-silver
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